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FULL UFC 177 BETTING ODDS (UPDATED WITH LATE ADDITIONS, INJURY REPLACEMENT)

With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just more than three months away, it’s time to begin taking a look at the betting odds for the card. Two bouts on the card already have lines introduced, and they are about as different as can be. At the main event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the guy he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first battle, Barao closed as a massive -910 favorite (wager $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first battle, scoring a fifth-round TKO in one of the greatest statistical upsets in UFC history. This time, the chances are much closer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the little underdog at +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card that up until now did not have betting lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that today as he published the complete UFC 177 gambling odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I really want Bethe Correia to win this fight, just so that I do not have to hear anything about the ridiculous”Four Horsewomen” ever again. That said, Correia has never faced anyone of Baszler’s skill level, especially when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler can wade through Correia’s striking and drag this battle to the ground where she’ll have a distinct edge. The biggest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, and it is more than enough to keep me from gambling her. Tony Ferguson appears like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been tagged on the toes a few times prior to, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuani, he won’t have the ability to fall back on his wrestling if the striking does not go to plan. This should be quite competitive in all regions, but Ferguson has minor edges which should propel him to victory. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late night makes him look more like a 37-year-old. He looked completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson provided the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his most recent bout. It feels like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a prospect while in Strikeforce, while Brunson was overlooked. This is an extremely difficult bout to predict regarding a side or a complete, so I will likely stay away entirely. On the other hand, I think Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling edge here, but even that is questionable. Ferreira is the far better entry grappler, and likely even the greater striker at this point (although Nijem’s advancement in that respect last time out was nice to see). I anticipate Ferreira to get the win, and likely put another finish on his resume either from his entry skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo consistently made for interesting bouts even when he was confronting completely overmatched contest, so now that he’s up against a legitimate test in Scott Jorgensen, I have to admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling advantage, naturally. He might not have the well-rounded skill set to prevent Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the vital tests for prospects in his last outing too, getting broken square to the jaw and shaking it off to win not only the fight, but round as well. The big question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Maybe being signed by the UFC was the impetus he had to start taking the sport seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) using Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he has been coasting occasionally. Against Jorgensen he may not have the ability to get away with a half effort, and when he does it will make him much more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he has generally been in a position to restrain and outhustle opponents to pick up choices. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, who really possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go together with his strong striking. Coming off of almost a year layoff, it is hard to expect much from Odoms, therefore that I anticipate Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is someone I completely expect to fade when he could pick up a couple more wins and face adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should almost be snuffed out in this stage. His striking defense looked atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his entry match was practically non-existent since he had been exploited within minutes of hitting the ground against Miller. Maybe that could work to the advantage of his backers from Justin Edwards however, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even at this point. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, and not many different skills, therefore Medeiros has this fight to win as long as he does not dive into that weapon. Edwards will likely come out quickly, since he must know that a win will mark the end of his UFC employ. Talking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will likely be shown the door as well, since both place on foul dislpays in their UFC debuts. Potts is a competitive — but not overly talented — grappler, although Hamilton showed enormous holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the flip side, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out with one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either man could complete this battle quickly and that I wouldn’t be surprised, or they could play it safe and we could be treated to some truly awful heavyweight MMA. In case the cost for this particular bout to go over 1.5 rounds is high enough, I might just have a shot there in hopes that the bout is of the bad variety, but I can not see myself putting considerably more than Monopoly money down with this contest.

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